Sporting Fulgor vs Nerostellati Frattese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
71.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 1
SFM
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
1 - 2
FBC
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SSE
1 - 2
SFM
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
2 - 3
FCF
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
5 - 0
SFM
81%
13%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nerostellati Frattese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NFR
0 - 3
ASD
61%
18%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
NFR
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NFR
2 - 3
RPO
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FBC
1 - 1
NFR
46%
26%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
NFR
0 - 1
TUR
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |