Sporting Fulgor vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
59.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SFM
0 - 6
NAR
9%
16%
75%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
NFR
2 - 2
SFM
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SFM
1 - 1
PIC
10%
17%
74%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FBC
7 - 1
SFM
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SFM
0 - 2
SSE
15%
19%
67%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FBC
0 - 0
GRA
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
SSE
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FCF
1 - 0
GRA
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 2
SAR
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
POM
0 - 1
GRA
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |