Sporting Estrada vs SD Esteirana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+156%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Estrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
CAL
50%
22%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BER
5 - 2
EST
56%
21%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
TOR
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
VCC
1 - 0
EST
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
UNI
36%
24%
39%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SD Esteirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BER
3 - 2
EST
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
EST
7 - 0
VCC
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EST
3 - 0
PRA
14%
19%
67%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
AGO
46%
23%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FLA
3 - 1
EST
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |