Sporting Estrada vs San Lorenzo Verdillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Estrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FLA
4 - 2
EST
56%
23%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
FIS
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
COR
3 - 0
EST
48%
24%
28%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EST
1 - 2
DUM
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 1
EST
11%
19%
70%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo Verdillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FIS
0 - 1
LOR
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 0
DUM
49%
22%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PUE
2 - 1
LOR
48%
23%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 0
EST
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
LOR
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |