Sporting Estrada vs CD Baio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Estrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 1
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
NEG
5 - 0
EST
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
EST
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
CAL
50%
22%
29%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BER
5 - 2
EST
56%
21%
22%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Baio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 3
NEG
14%
18%
68%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 2
CAL
31%
22%
48%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 1
BAY
68%
18%
14%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 3
UNI
23%
23%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 3
BAY
18%
20%
62%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |