Sporting de Ceuta vs Polillas Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+124%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting de Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
7 - 0
CDD
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
BHA
1 - 3
SPO
43%
21%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CDB
2 - 3
SPO
81%
11%
8%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 3
CJU
8%
13%
80%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
TDA
3 - 4
SPO
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Polillas Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
POL
7 - 0
MIR
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
POL
3 - 4
POL
16%
18%
66%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
POL
6 - 3
UCI
63%
18%
19%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
POL
0 - 5
CJU
15%
17%
67%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 3
POL
53%
21%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |