Sporting de Alcázar U19 vs Arges Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
38.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4º
16º
8º
1
10º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
18º
|
0 | 72 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 70 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 69 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 64 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 55 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 49 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 49 |
7º
|
6% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 48 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 44 |
9º
|
4% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 41 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 40 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 39 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 38 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 37 |
16º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 36 |
17º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 33 |
18º
|
15.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 32.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting de Alcázar U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 2
SPO
70%
17%
14%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
EFU
22%
21%
57%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 1
SPO
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CDM
4 - 0
SPO
22%
21%
58%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
EFB
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Arges Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 1
ROD
65%
19%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
UBC
1 - 0
ARG
72%
16%
13%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
CDA
27%
23%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAZ
4 - 1
ARG
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ARG
5 - 0
APU
32%
22%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |