Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
16º
1º
9
9º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
21 | 34 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 33 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 32 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 32 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 31 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 29 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 28 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 26 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 22 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 20 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 19 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 17 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 15 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 12 |
18º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
24% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
SPC
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 0
ALI
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AGP
1 - 1
SPC
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
4 - 0
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SRP
3 - 3
SPC
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
UTC
1 - 1
ADT
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
UTC
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
UTC
3 - 1
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
UTC
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
UTC
1 - 1
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |