Sporting Cristal vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 1
SPC
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 1
MEL
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SPC
1 - 1
SBO
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
SPC
3 - 3
MUN
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
SAM
1 - 0
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
SAM
2 - 0
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SAM
0 - 2
UNI
52%
26%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
SBO
1 - 0
SAM
33%
28%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |