Sporting Cristal vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1990 |
SPC
0 - 0
UNI
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1989 |
RAC
2 - 0
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1989 |
BOC
4 - 3
SPC
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
UNI
4 - 0
SPC
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1989 |
SPC
1 - 2
RAC
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1990 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCO
95%
3%
2%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
UCO
1 - 1
NAC
2%
26%
72%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1988 |
UCO
3 - 1
TAC
70%
17%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1988 |
COL
2 - 2
UCO
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |