Sporting Cristal vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
SPC
1 - 0
CAL
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 0
MEL
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
SPC
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 0
MUN
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
SPC
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BOC
3 - 3
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
GAR
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 0
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
COM
45%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
VAL
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |