Sporting Cristal vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 0
LEO
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 1
SPC
50%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 1
SPC
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 1
ATP
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
COM
2 - 2
GAR
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
HUA
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
COM
0 - 2
SPC
29%
27%
43%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |