Sporting Cristal vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 3
SPC
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
4 - 1
SAM
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 0
SPC
54%
25%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 0
LEO
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
SPC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
CIE
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 0
COM
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
COM
0 - 0
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 1
COM
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
COM
3 - 2
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |