Sporting Cristal vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
CIE
2 - 0
SPC
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 0
SPC
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
SPC
1 - 1
VAL
79%
14%
6%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 2
SPC
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
SPC
0 - 0
ALI
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SFE
0 - 2
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
SFE
0 - 0
DEF
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 2
SFE
61%
22%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
CAR
4 - 0
SFE
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SFE
2 - 1
PER
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |