Sporting Cristal vs San Simón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AUR
5 - 1
SPC
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 2
ALI
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 3
SPC
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
5 - 2
COM
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 0
LEO
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
GAR
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
AUR
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALI
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AYA
4 - 0
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |