Sporting Cristal vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1968 |
POR
1 - 1
SPC
29%
21%
50%
|
76 | 15 | 61 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
EME
0 - 2
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1968 |
SPC
2 - 2
UNI
66%
18%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
SPC
1 - 1
REA
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1968 |
SPC
2 - 0
JWI
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1968 |
EME
0 - 1
PEÑ
40%
25%
36%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
POR
0 - 3
PEÑ
19%
20%
61%
|
84 | 15 | 69 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
1 - 1
PEÑ
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1968 |
LIB
1 - 0
PEÑ
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |