Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 2
PAC
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
TIG
3 - 1
SPC
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
UTC
0 - 2
SPC
20%
29%
51%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SPC
5 - 0
AYA
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 2
SPC
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 1
GUA
70%
20%
11%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 2
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 0
TIG
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
LIN
70%
19%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |