Sporting Cristal vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 3
SBO
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
SAM
2 - 1
SPC
30%
26%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SPC
4 - 2
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPC
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
SPC
4 - 2
CDE
82%
12%
5%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
PAC
36%
25%
38%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 1
PAC
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
PAC
1 - 3
PUM
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CHI
0 - 4
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
PAC
0 - 1
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |