Sporting Cristal vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1978 |
SPC
1 - 4
ALI
53%
22%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
0 - 1
SPC
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
STR
3 - 1
SPC
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
ALI
2 - 2
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1974 |
SPC
2 - 1
UCO
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
4 - 1
STR
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
0 - 1
SPC
50%
22%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
OPE
0 - 4
ALI
52%
21%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1978 |
STR
2 - 0
OPE
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
CAL
3 - 0
OPE
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |