Sporting Cristal vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
SPC
2 - 3
VEL
38%
27%
34%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
SPC
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
MOR
4 - 0
SPC
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2002 |
VEL
1 - 0
SPC
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
SPC
3 - 4
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
SAN
4 - 3
MOR
55%
22%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2002 |
MOR
4 - 2
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 2
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 2
MOR
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
CHI
0 - 1
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |