Sporting Cristal vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AYA
1 - 1
SPC
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COB
0 - 2
SPC
20%
26%
55%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SPC
3 - 1
SAM
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 0
HUA
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 0
HUA
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GAL
3 - 1
AYA
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 1
GAL
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GAL
4 - 0
COB
59%
23%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
GAL
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |