Sporting Cristal vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
SPC
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
SPC
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 3
GAR
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 1
SAN
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AUR
5 - 1
SPC
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 0
GAR
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
AYA
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 2
AUR
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALI
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 0
AYA
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |