Sporting Cristal vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 2
HUA
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
2 - 0
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 3
SPC
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SPC
4 - 1
SAM
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
AYA
1 - 0
CIE
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
AYA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
AYA
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 0
HUA
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
AYA
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |