Sporting Cristal vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TOT
0 - 1
SPC
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 1
SAM
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CIE
3 - 3
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
ALI
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 0
SPC
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
AYA
1 - 0
UNI
33%
30%
38%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
UNA
2 - 0
AYA
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
AYA
2 - 0
GAL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CNI
3 - 0
AYA
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 0
AYA
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |