Sporting Cristal vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 0
SPC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
SPC
3 - 1
HUA
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 0
AUR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
SPC
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 0
GAL
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 1
AYA
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AYA
0 - 1
CIE
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 3
AYA
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 0
AYA
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 1
SAM
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |