Sporting Cristal vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
SPC
18%
22%
61%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
SPC
5 - 1
GAR
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 1
SPC
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 2
ALI
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 0
COM
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 2
SBO
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
SRP
2 - 1
MEL
38%
30%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 1
BIN
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
HUA
0 - 2
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 0
AYA
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |