Sporting Cristal vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 1
SPC
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPC
24%
23%
53%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 0
AUR
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPC
5 - 1
AYA
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 0
CIE
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 0
CIE
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
LOS
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
MEL
52%
25%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |