Sporting Cristal vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1981 |
COB
6 - 1
SPC
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1981 |
UCH
1 - 1
SPC
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
ATL
0 - 2
SPC
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1981 |
SPC
0 - 0
COB
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1981 |
SPC
3 - 2
UCH
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
OLI
4 - 0
MEL
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
AME
0 - 2
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
MUN
0 - 2
MEL
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
3 - 2
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
0 - 3
OLI
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |