Conmebol Sudamericana Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 0-1
Sporting Cristal vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 0
COM
79%
15%
7%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
FLU
1 - 1
SPC
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 2
SPC
7%
18%
76%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
EME
2 - 1
DAN
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CUE
3 - 2
EME
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
EME
0 - 0
GUA
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
EME
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
BSC
1 - 3
EME
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |