Sporting Cristal vs Defensor La Bocana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 0
SPC
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SPC
7 - 2
VAL
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
SPC
36%
26%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 0
SPC
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 2
MUN
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 3
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 2
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 2
BOC
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
BOC
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 3
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -2 |