Sporting Cristal vs Defensor La Bocana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 2
SPC
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
SPC
1 - 1
AUR
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 1
SPC
24%
25%
52%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SPC
4 - 0
UTC
63%
21%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 0
SPC
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
SAM
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
BOC
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 1
UTC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 0
BOC
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 0
ALI
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |