Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
GAR
2 - 2
SPC
34%
25%
42%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 0
MUN
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 2
SPC
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
SPC
17%
22%
61%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 0
SBO
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
COM
3 - 2
SBO
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SRP
1 - 1
COM
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
COM
1 - 2
BIN
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 0
COM
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
COM
0 - 3
AYA
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |