Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
16º
1º
15
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
21 | 34 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 33 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 32 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 32 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 31 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 29 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 28 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 26 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 22 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 20 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 19 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 17 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
8 | 15 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 12 |
18º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
24% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 2
SPC
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
4 - 0
UTC
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 0
SPC
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 0
ALI
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AGP
1 - 1
SPC
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Garcilaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
ADT
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
COM
2 - 1
CDG
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
3 - 1
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
CDG
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 1
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |