Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 2
SPC
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 1
SPC
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 3
SPC
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SPC
4 - 1
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
SPC
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 1
UTC
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 0
HUA
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALI
5 - 0
CIE
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CIE
4 - 2
LEO
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
CIE
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |