Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 3
SPC
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GAL
3 - 1
SPC
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
CIE
1 - 2
SPC
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SPC
4 - 0
AYA
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 1
SPC
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
GAL
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
AYA
0 - 1
CIE
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
CIE
1 - 2
SPC
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 2
SAM
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
COB
1 - 2
CIE
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |