Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 8-5
Sporting Cristal vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
CFC
2 - 2
SPC
55%
23%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1995 |
SPC
1 - 0
BOL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
SPC
7 - 0
JWI
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1995 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 1
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
CFC
2 - 2
SPC
55%
23%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1995 |
CFC
0 - 6
CCP
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
CFC
3 - 2
TRU
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1995 |
CFC
1 - 2
OLI
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1995 |
CCP
2 - 1
CFC
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |