Sporting Cristal vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
51.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1998 |
COL
1 - 0
SPC
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
CRZ
1 - 0
SPC
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
SPC
0 - 0
CRZ
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
SPC
4 - 1
RAC
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
GLP
4 - 3
RIV
30%
24%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 1
RIV
10%
17%
73%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1998 |
RIV
5 - 0
HUR
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
COL
1 - 2
RIV
27%
23%
51%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
ESP
1 - 4
RIV
14%
21%
65%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |