Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 3
SPC
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
5 - 2
COM
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 0
LEO
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 1
SPC
50%
24%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 1
SPC
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
GAR
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALI
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 0
ALI
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
VAL
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |