Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1998 |
SPC
2 - 3
RIV
26%
23%
51%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1998 |
COL
1 - 0
SPC
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
CRZ
1 - 0
SPC
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
SPC
0 - 0
CRZ
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
COL
1 - 0
ALI
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 1
RIV
10%
17%
73%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
GRE
2 - 0
ALI
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ALI
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |