Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CNI
0 - 0
SPC
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
SPC
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 1
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 0
SBO
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
39%
28%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ALI
3 - 0
CIE
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
AUR
3 - 0
ALI
46%
29%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAM
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |