Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
WAN
0 - 3
SPC
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
SPC
5 - 2
ALI
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 2
SPC
31%
28%
42%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPC
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
SPC
4 - 1
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 2
ALI
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
BOL
3 - 1
ALI
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
ALI
2 - 0
WAN
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2003 |
CDE
3 - 1
ALI
33%
27%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ALI
4 - 1
CAU
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |