Sporting CP U23 vs Estrela Amadora U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
15º
3º
9
2º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
7 | 27 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 27 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 25 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 24 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 23 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 23 |
6º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 23 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 21 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 21 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 18 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 15 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 11 |
16º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
47% | 30% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
36.5% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
EST
33%
25%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPO
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 0
BES
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 0
SPO
21%
24%
56%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
FAR
66%
19%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
EST
0 - 3
MAF
60%
20%
20%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
EST
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
FAR
42%
26%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
EST
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |