Sporting CP Sub 19 vs Ajax Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 3
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 2
SPO
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
3 - 2
VIZ
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
BEN
22%
21%
57%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SET
0 - 2
SPO
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
MTK
0 - 1
AJA
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
RAN
2 - 6
AJA
29%
20%
52%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 1
LIV
18%
19%
63%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +4 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 1
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 1
NAP
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |