Sporting CP II vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
SCP
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SCP
0 - 2
ARO
36%
26%
37%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 2
ACA
36%
27%
38%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GFC
0 - 0
SCP
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SCP
0 - 1
UNM
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 0
UNM
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ACA
1 - 1
PEN
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 0
REA
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
COV
1 - 3
PEN
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 3
VAR
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |