Sporting CP II vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
3º
2º
22
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
26 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
26 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
1DE
1 - 4
SCP
19%
25%
56%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 0
PER
70%
18%
11%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 3
SCP
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 0
PER
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
SCP
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
4 - 1
PER
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
1DE
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
SPC
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
CAL
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |