Sporting CP II vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
6º
5º
31
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 3
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 1
SCP
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SCP
1 - 2
ACA
41%
25%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 2
SCP
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 0
OLI
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 4
ALV
28%
28%
45%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
ALV
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALV
1 - 1
ATL
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ALV
13 - 0
GAV
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 2
ALV
64%
22%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |