SC Covilha vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
SLB
6 - 1
SPC
93%
5%
2%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
1 - 2
BEL
10%
17%
74%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1949 |
SPC
2 - 0
SPB
46%
23%
32%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
OLH
4 - 0
SPC
82%
11%
7%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1948 |
BOA
2 - 1
SPC
68%
17%
16%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
VST
2 - 1
LUS
69%
17%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
VST
1 - 2
SLB
12%
17%
71%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 1
VST
82%
11%
8%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
VST
2 - 2
OLH
43%
22%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1948 |
SPB
2 - 0
VST
67%
17%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |