SC Covilha vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1961 |
SLB
8 - 0
SPC
84%
10%
6%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
SPC
2 - 1
FCB
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
BEL
0 - 1
SPC
82%
11%
6%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 3
FCP
22%
24%
53%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1961 |
VIT
4 - 2
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
VIT
0 - 1
LEX
73%
15%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
SPB
2 - 1
VIT
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
VIT
0 - 0
SCP
24%
22%
54%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
FAB
2 - 0
VIT
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |