SC Covilha vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
EST
3 - 0
SPC
60%
20%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
BEL
3 - 0
SPC
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
SPC
4 - 1
FCB
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
SAL
3 - 1
SPC
41%
22%
37%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
SPC
1 - 0
SPB
65%
18%
16%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
VIT
2 - 4
FCP
33%
23%
44%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
BOA
4 - 0
VIT
68%
18%
15%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
ACA
0 - 0
VIT
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
SCP
6 - 1
VIT
92%
6%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
VIT
0 - 1
BEL
38%
24%
38%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |