SC Covilha vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
EST
5 - 0
SPC
76%
13%
12%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
SPC
3 - 4
SLB
24%
19%
56%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
BEL
1 - 1
SPC
83%
10%
7%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
SPC
2 - 1
ATL
47%
21%
31%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
SPB
3 - 1
SPC
55%
20%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
VIT
2 - 2
FCP
38%
21%
41%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
SCP
5 - 1
VIT
87%
8%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
48%
21%
31%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
LUS
3 - 0
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1950 |
OLH
1 - 1
VIT
69%
16%
15%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |